Card
Counting
Consecutive
hands of Blackjack are not strictly independent events; keeping
track of the cards already played yields information on the remaining
deck content. Card counting identifies the times when the deck composition
favours the player. The player will then modify his betting and
playing strategy accordingly.
The fundamental
principle behind card counting is that a deck rich in high cards
(tens and aces) is good for the player, while the reverse is true
for the dealer. A deck rich in tens and aces improves the player's
odds, for several reasons: the player will be dealt more blackjacks
(which pays 3 to 2); the dealer is more likely to bust a stiff hand;
double down and split plays are more successful; and the insurance
side bet can become profitable.
Contrary
to the popular myth, card counters do not memorize every card that’s
played; they merely keep track of the relative number of high cards
compared to low cards left in the deck. Basic card counting assigns
an integer value to each card and then the player keeps track of
the total score (the running count) as each card is dealt.
Card
counting creates two advantages:
-
Varying
the bet size when the deck composition changes: Card counters
raise their bets when the deck is favorable (high ratio of high
cards to low cards);
-
Adjusting
the basic strategy based on the remaining deck content: The
player can improve the basic strategy chart by using information
on the remaining cards.
These
two adjustments to their betting and playing strategy can give players
a mathematical advantage over the house. Depending on the particular
blackjack rules in a casino, basic strategy reduces the house advantage
to less than one percent, while card counting typically gives the
player an advantage of 0.5 to 1.5% over the house.
There
are a lot of different techniques that have been invented to keep
track of the cards played and each has its own advantages and disadvantages.
The two most important considerations in choosing a card counting
strategy are:
The
most popular card counting systems are:
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